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29 Dec 2011
   

Quarterly Gross Domestic Product by Economic Activities Third Quarter, 2011

 
   

Qatar Statistics Authority (QSA) has released the preliminary estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at current prices for the third quarter (Q3) of 2011. The estimates have been prepared based on data collected through the Quarterly Economic Indicator Survey and those provided by other source agencies.

 
   


The quarterly GDP in the Q3 of 2011, at current prices, is estimated at 164.82 billion Qatari Riyals. This represents an increase of 39.5% compared to the estimate of Q3 of 2010 valued at 118.17 billion Qatari Riyals. When compared to previous quarter [Q2 of 2011] estimates of 153.73 billion Qatari Riyals, the increase is 7.2%. The increase in quarterly GDP [both year-on-year as well as quarter-on quarter basis] has been driven mainly by expansion in the production levels of LNG, Pipeline gas, other gas-related products and condensates, coupled with increases in hydrocarbon prices.

An analysis by industry group, comparing the performance in Q3 of 2011 with the corresponding quarter in 2010 [Year-on-Year Basis] and with the second quarter (Q2) of 2011 is given in the following paragraphs. Readers are advised to keep the seasonality factor in view, while comparing the estimates with the preceding quarter.

In Q3 of 2011, the Gross Value Added (GVA) for the Mining and Quarrying sector is estimated at 97.74 billion Qatari Riyal, which represents an increase of 56.7%, compared to the estimate of Q3 of 2010 [62.38 billion Qatari Riyals]. It shows a rise of 9.2% compared to the level of 89.49 billion Qatari Riyals estimated for the previous quarter of this year (Q2 of 2011). Qatar’s production and exports impelled by LNG expansion and higher oil and gas prices contributed to this rise in the value addition from this sector.

The GVA of Manufacturing sector is estimated at 16.24 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3 of 2011 showing rise of 36.6% over the corresponding quarter of 2010 [11.89 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3 of 2010]. The expansion in the gas extraction has led to higher production of some downstream gas-related products, in particular Gas to Liquids (GTL). On year-on-year basis, Petrochemicals, Steel and Fertilizers also showed buoyancy in Q3, 2011.

However, compared to the previous quarter (Q2 of 2011), there has been a decline of 4.1% in the GVA of Manufacturing sector. Slowdown in the manufacturing activity in few products like Steel (-4.9%), Fertilizers (-1.7%), Petrochemicals (-0.6%), Refined Petroleum products (-0.5%) coupled with price fall, seen from the Producer Price indices [Q3 2011 over Q2, 2011, released by QSA on 27-12-2011] in respect of Refined Petroleum Products (-4.4%), Basic Chemicals (-4.4%) etc. explain the decline in GVA of this sector.

The GVA of the Construction sector at 5.36 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3 of 2011 remains more or less at the level of the corresponding quarter of 2010 [5.32 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3 of 2010]. However, the construction activity in Q3, 2011 shows a decline of 12.2% when compared to Q2, 2011 which is to be seen in the light of seasonality factor.

The GVA of the Trade, Hotel and Restaurants sector is estimated at 9.0 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3 of 2011 registering an increase of 12.8% over the corresponding quarter of 2010 [7.99 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3 of 2010]. Compared to the previous quarter (Q2 of 2011), there has been a rise of 9.3%.
The Transport and Communication sector generated a value added of 5.92 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3, 2011 against 4.99 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3, 2010 showing a rise of 18.7%. Compared to the previous quarter, Q2 of 2011, the increase was 15.8%.

As for Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Business Services, the GVA is estimated at 18.34 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3 of 2011, showing an increase of 12.4% when compared to the corresponding quarter (Q3) estimate of 16.32 billion Qatari Riyals in 2010. Compared to the previous quarter, Q2 of 2011, there was an increase of 11.2%.

The contribution of the Government Services which includes the provision of public health, education and other miscellaneous services is estimated at 11.92 billion Qatari Riyals in Q3 of 2011, which is 34.9% higher than the estimate of Q3 of 2010, and 11.9% higher than the previous quarter (Q2 of 2011). The high rise in the level of Q3, 2011 GVA has the partial reflection of salary increase for Qatari Government employees, implemented with effect from 1st September, 2011.

For more details about Quarterly GDP please refer to QALAM: www.qix.gov.qa
 
Estimates of Quarterly Gross Domestic Product by economic activities at current prices 2011 Third Quarter